Currency Insights Weekly By HDFC Securities Ltd

USDINR

* USDINR Aprilfut. broken the rising trendline support on the daily chart.

* The pair has been placed well below the short-termmoving average.

* Momentum oscillator, Relative Strength Index of 14 days placed below 50 indicating negative momentum.

* Long unwinding has been seen with the fall in price and open interest (Reference table on page 7).

*We expect weaker price action in the coming days. Any short-covering bounce towards 82.40 can be a selling opportunity for targets of 81.70 and 81.50, keeping the stop loss at 83.

 

 EURINR

* EURINR April fut. retraced to 10 days moving average. However, it placed well above the previousswing high.

* Relative Strength Index of 14 days is floating well above 50 and heading north.

* MACD is placed above the zero line and heading higher.

* Long unwinding has been seen with the fall in price and open interest (Reference table on page 7).

* The view remains bullish for EURINR April fut with higher side resistance at 91.30 and support at 87.90.

 

GBPINR

* GBPINR April fut. closed well above the falling channel and short-term moving averages.

* Relative Strength Index of 14 days is about to enter in the overbought zone.

* Short covering has been seen as the price has risen while open interest and volume declined (Reference table on page 7).

* We remain bullish on GBPINR in April fut and expect it to cross the level of 103 while keeping the support around 100.70.

 

JPYINR

* JPYINR April fut. closed above the short-termmoving averages.

* Relative Strength Index of 14 days hovering above 50.

* Short covering has been seen as the price has risen while open interest and volume declined (Reference table on page 7).

* The gap between MACD and MACD average narrowed indicating the convergence.

* The bias remains bullish for JPYINR April futures as long as it trades above 61. In the near term, it has resistance at 65 and supports around 61

 

 

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